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Any British force laying siege to Ciudad Rodrigo would have to use thousands of men to guard against the threat of Almeida's garrison sallying out to raid the supply roads and Ducos reckoned that Wellington would never abide that menace in his army's rear. "Wellington's first priority will be to capture Almeida," Ducos said, "and Marshal Massйna will do his best to relieve the fortress from the British siege. In other words, Brigadier" — Ducos was speaking more to Loup than to the Dona Juanita — "there will be a battle fought close to Almeida. Not much is certain in war, but I think we can be certain of that."
Loup stared at the map, then nodded agreement. "Unless Marshal Massйna withdraws the garrison?" he said in a tone of contempt suggesting that Massйna, his enemy, was capable of any foolishness.
"He won't," Ducos said with the certainty of a man who had the power to dictate strategy to marshals of France. "And the reason he will not is here," Ducos said, and he tapped the map as he spoke. "Look," he said, and Loup bent obediently over the map. The fortress of Almeida was depicted like a star to imitate its jagged, star-shaped fortifications. Around it were the hatch marks of hills, but behind it, between Almeida and the rest of Portugal, ran a deep river. The Coa. "It runs in a gorge, Brigadier," Ducos said, "and is crossed by a single bridge at Gastello Bom."
"I know it well."
"So if we defeat General Wellington on this side of the river," Ducos said, "then the fugitives of his army will be forced to retreat across a single bridge scarce three metres wide. That is why we shall leave the garrison in Almeida, because its presence will force Lord Wellington to fight on this bank of the Coa and when he does fight we shall destroy him. And once the British are gone, Brigadier, we shall employ your tactics of horror to end all resistance in Portugal and Spain."
Loup straightened up. He was impressed by Ducos's analysis, but also dubious of it. He needed a few seconds to phrase his objection and made the time by lighting a long, dark cigar. He blew smoke out, then decided there was no politic way to voice his doubt, so he just stated it baldly. "I've not fought the British in battle, Major, but I hear they're stubborn bastards in defence." Loup tapped the map. "I know that country well. It's full of hill ranges and river valleys. Give Wellington a hill and you could die of old age before you could shift the bugger loose. That's what I hear, anyway." Loup finished with a shrug, as if to deprecate his own opinion.
Ducos smiled. "Supposing, Brigadier, that Wellington's army is rotted from the inside?"
Loup considered the question, then nodded. "He'll break," he confirmed simply.
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